Is the decline in total food production in 2016 a bad thing?
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[ China Agricultural Machinery Industry News ] The National Bureau of Statistics said on December 8 that China's total grain output in 2016 was 12,324.8 billion kilograms, a decrease of 10.4 billion kilograms from 2015, a decrease of 0.8%. The decline in the total grain output this year has broken the trend of China's grain “twelve consecutive increasesâ€. But whether this decline is a good thing or a bad thing, we have to split it into two. The food production in our country was once faced with the contradiction between the tight balance of grain supply and demand and the partial surplus of some varieties.
Is the decline in total food production in 2016 a bad thing?
From this year's point of view, the work of resolving the problem has achieved certain results, but problems such as excessive corn stocks and inverted food prices are still plaguing the development of the industry and plaguing farmers. How to resolve contradictions? What should we do when the total grain output falls?
In 2016, we have a good harvest year. But take a closer look at the data, we will find that many issues need to be taken seriously.
From the perspective of total grain output, this year has seen a slight decline from last year. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the total grain output of the country this year was 616 million tons, a decrease of 0.8% from last year. However, don't underestimate this 0.8%, which is equivalent to more than 5 million tons.
At the same time, the area planted with grain, especially the area planted with grain, has shown a year-on-year decline.
It must be said that the overall trend of our food production is still quite good. Policy support is in place, coupled with the active exploration of everyone, our food has already seen a bumper harvest for more than a decade. Food is the foundation of the national economy, and the harvest of food is good for everyone to live and work in peace.
And the decline in food production, we need to look at it in a comprehensive way. Judging from the previous situation, our country's grain production once faced three contradictions, including a tight balance of grain supply and demand and partial over-segment of some varieties, and the market price faced with double extrusion and protection of grain farmers' interests and moderate utilization. The contradiction between the international food resources and the impact of imported food on the domestic market.
From this year's point of view, the work of resolving the problem has achieved certain results, but problems such as excessive corn stocks and inverted food prices are still plaguing the development of the industry and plaguing farmers.
A key point in the issue of food is the imbalance between supply and demand. For example, corn stocks exceed 200 million tons, accounting for about half of the total grain stock. This situation tells us that the grain reserves are sufficient, but the structure needs to be optimized. .
Another area that needs attention is the issue of the competitiveness of food. The problem of importing grain prices has been plagued by agricultural products for a long time, and agricultural products from Japan, Thailand and other places are very popular in the domestic market, and it is inevitable that some farmers’ friends will be left behind.
In fact, the solution to these two phenomena comes down to the fact that we are now vigorously advancing the supply-side structural reform. Improving the types and quality of agricultural products and increasing the proportion of Chinese products is an important task for the supply-side structural reform.
Completing the supply-side structural reform of agriculture requires policy guidance, which in turn involves the interests of food farmers. The state has always had relevant support policies to ensure everyone's income, but this also caused everyone's enthusiasm for improving quality under certain circumstances. At present, the output of grain is generally sufficient. Under the premise of ensuring overall stability of production, improving quality through policy guidance is the key to solving the problem. A small decline in grain production may also mean that everyone has begun to try to shift from pure pursuit of production to quality.
On the 20th of this month, the National Agricultural Work Conference was held in Beijing. The meeting proposed that next year, we should focus on promoting the main line of structural reform of agricultural supply side, with the goal of optimizing supply, improving quality and efficiency, and increasing farmers' income, with green development as Guideline, with reform and innovation as the driving force and structural adjustment as the focus, it can be seen that the structural adjustment and quality improvement on the basis of stable grain production and high yield are still the future direction.
The so-called: stable production of high-yield and large-scale agriculture, three sets of contradictions to be resolved, structural adjustment is necessary, reform supply can not be lacking.