Japan Earthquake Triggers Chinese Machine Tool Butterfly Effect

Japan's earthquake triggered a butterfly effect China grabbed a market of USD 80.7 billion The report analyzes the market trends, driving forces, product overview, competitiveness, innovative products and recent industry trends of global machine tools. The report recalled the recent weakness of the machine tool market caused by the global economic downturn. The report believes that the world's machine tool industry is sensitive to changes in economic and financial conditions. The ups and downs of the economy have affected the changes in market demand. Capacity utilization, expansion of production capacity, and changes in business confidence have all had a major impact on the market.

The world machine tool industry is facing the most troublesome search ever thrown by the world economic recession. The butterfly effect on the global economy caused by the extraordinary earthquake on March 11 in Japan, and the impact of the economic recession on the capital product market is far-reaching. In addition to the weak financial situation, machine tool makers are also dragged down by the processing component market, such as manufacturing, automotive and real estate. Fortunately, the earthquake-devastated area deviated from the operation center and had a limited impact on the machine tool industry. Due to the extensive use of machine tools, including aerospace, automotive, processing industry, wind power generation, mining and oil exploration industries, Luo Baihui, executive secretary general of the International Die & Hardware & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, believes that although Europe and the Asia-Pacific region are still involved The majority of the global machine tool market share, but the recovery of the machine tool market will be driven by the emerging markets such as China and India. At present, the demand for machine tools in North America shows a strong growth signal, and its output and demand have increased rapidly in recent months.

In recent years, the demand for important equipment manufacturing industries such as national defense, aviation, high-speed rail, automobiles, and molds has grown substantially. This has led to significant growth in the machine tool industry. The CAGR of China’s CNC machine tools has averaged 37.39% in the past five years. The average annual compound growth in the past 10 years was 29.94%, and the compound growth in the past 15 years was 22.10%. Driven by the national revitalization of equipment manufacturing operations and international industrial shifts, the growth rate of investment in equipment and equipment purchases in China will continue to be around 20% in the next 5 to 10 years. The demand for the machine tool industry will continue to grow at a high rate. According to Luo Baihui, executive secretary of the International Mould and Hardware & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, driven by the demand, the output of CNC machine tools in China maintained a rapid growth, and the total output value of machine tools ranked first in the world, becoming a veritable consumer power, with the economic structure. With the deepening of the adjustment, the high growth of listed companies in the category of numerical control machine tools and numerical control systems equipment is expected to continue. In 2010, CNC machine tools consumed more than 6 billion U.S. dollars and the number of machines exceeded 100,000 units. This clearly shows that CNC machine tools have become the mainstream of machine tool consumption, and China's future market for CNC machine tools can capture a large share.

The key parts of machine tools need to be localized In 2010, China's annual import of machine tool tools was 15.72 billion US dollars, a record high; among them, metal processing machine tools (gold cutting and forming, important middle and advanced machine tools) were 9.42 billion yuan, an increase of 59.8% year-on-year. Metal processing machines grew only 35.1%. This shows that the market occupancy rate of domestic machine tools has dropped, and the market competitiveness of medium and high-level machine tools has not risen. At the same time, in 2010, machine tool exports totaled US$7.03 billion, of which metal processing machines exported only US$1.85 billion, and most of them were low-grade products. There were few high-level products and the deficit increased significantly. According to Luo Baihui, executive secretary general of the International Die & Metals & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, the important reason for the deficit is not only the insufficient production capacity of advanced machine tools. Another important reason is that advanced machine tools adopt imported systems and components, which are costly and difficult to improve. The pulling effect of the previous 4 trillion yuan investment, the disconnection of production and research of high-end domestic machine tools, and the government's tax incentive policy for imported advanced machine tools are just the reasons for the surge in imports of high-end machine tools. Luo Baihui said that during the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period, although the CNC system and efficiency components have made great progress, the speed is not enough and the short board has not been fundamentally resolved. At present, the development of machine tool manufacturing techniques is getting faster and faster, and the demand is getting higher and higher. The system represents the key components of the machine tool industry in the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" for the key components of the machine tool.

The gap between the domestic CNC system and the imported CNC system is not only reflected in the system itself, but also the richness and skill content of the supporting software. Such as blade milling, domestic machine tool two or three million (software most gift) can buy one; and a Swiss Sterg machine tool needs 10 million yuan, software also more than 10 million, to meet the efficiency requirements, There is a wide gap in skill content. Another example is the CNC rail grinding machine. Wadrich Coburg and Siemens 840D systems are also used in similar products in China. However, the software is rich and supports many compensation functions. However, our machine tools have not been developed, and software and turnkey projects have been used. The proportion is too small.

Wu Bulin, executive vice president of China Machine Tool Industry Association, disclosed that in 2010, China's machine tool industry completed industrial output value of 545 billion yuan, an increase of 40.5% compared with the same period of last year, and was equal to 165.6 billion yuan in the early period of the 11th Five-Year Plan (2006). Than the increase of 3 times.

Shao Qin, deputy director of the Industry Development Department of China Machine Tool Industry Association, once expressed that the domestic production of machine tools is still difficult to meet the current market demand in China, China's largest machine tool consumer countries, accounting for a quarter of the total consumption of machine tools in the world, especially There is a huge demand for high-end machine tools.

The 4 trillion yuan economic stimulus plan is to make the demand for medium-to-high-end machine tools in the relevant fields such as automobiles, military, energy, railways, and rail transportation “hunger and thirst”. However, this has always been a shortcoming in the development of China’s machine tool industry, and a large number of suppliers have come from Germany and Japan. The country's imports. Luo Baihui expressed that although the country launched the “High-level CNC Machine Tool and Basic Manufacturing Equipment Major Project” in 2009, it intends to achieve 70% of the advanced CNC machine tools and basic production equipment required for the production of aerospace, marine, automobile, and power generation equipment by 2020. 80% based on domestic. The key to "producing, researching and using" is "use", and eventually it should fall on the word "use". But now, we don't have enough time to devote major scientific research objectives to our industrialization, especially in the critical components of advanced CNC machine tools. In fact, the middle-end products of China's machine tool industry are also surrounded by "foreign production." Although the parameters of home-made ordinary machine tools can meet the requirements, due to lack of reliability and precision, a considerable part of China's mid-range machine tools must also be imported from South Korea and other countries.

Foreign countries occupy the commanding heights of high-end skills and product exports. According to Luo Baihui, executive secretary general of the International Die & Metal & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, Japan, Germany and other countries are restricting exports to high-end machine tools. "For example, DMG's high-end five-axis linkage machine tools limit exports to China and even high-end technicians. There is also a limit to the employment in other places. They worry that the loss of people will be accompanied by the outflow of skills, he told me.

For the channels for introducing and digesting foreign high-end skills through mergers and acquisitions, Shao Qin believes that the machine tool industry is characterized by multiple varieties, small batches, and high skill content, and is not suitable for large-scale mergers. “The machine tool industry is not like a trousers shirt. The accumulation and development of skills requires a certain period of time. There will be no new products that will be 'upgraded' in the next three or five years,” Wu pointed out. Shao Qinzu also believes: “Without independent core skills, it is difficult to move in the international arena. Chinese companies must work harder.”

“There are two important obstacles to solving the short board problem: One key skill in deep levels has not yet been fully controlled; instead, in the absence of industrialization, the return on investment is low, and even if there is no return on investment, the risk is high.” Wu Berlin performance.

The “short board” problem that the numerical control system and efficiency components restrict the development of the CNC machine tool industry has caused the relevant leadership of the State Council to attach great importance to it. The relevant departments such as the Ministry of Industry and Information are cooperating with the formulation of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” and the implementation of 04 major special projects, and the government’s research has increased. Investment, increase support and policy measures. Wu believes that as the enterprise, the next step is to focus on how to achieve organic integration of the mainframe, numerical control systems, and efficiency component companies under the support of the relevant government departments. Accelerate the establishment of a close-knit alliance in the industry from a strategic height to accelerate Solve the "short board" problem of CNC systems and power components.

To achieve alternative imports, technology is naturally a matter of weight, but at the same time, the problem of industrialization is imminent. It is easy to build a machine tool and it is difficult to build 100 machine tools. It is the issue of industrialization. Some materials show that in the “Eleventh Five-Year” era, China's machine tool industry has developed many advanced products. However, the machine tool has its speciality, the industries and users facing it are very different, and it is under the background of market operation. The degree of dispersion is large. If you want to change the advanced machine tool from the laboratory model to the industrialization model, you have to promote a new round of The technological reform led by the integration of the two technologies has focused on solving the problems that the cost of high-end products for domestic machine tools has not come and that quality has not gone. Similarly, the deepening of the industrialization of domestically-manufactured numerical control systems and power components is in full swing. Wu Berlin believes that from the current situation, market operation alone is no longer enough. Advanced CNC machine tools are important strategic resources, and if China's economy and core technologies cannot form their own systems, they cannot be implemented according to the requirements of the scientific concept of development. Sustainable development will surely be hampered by people.

From the perspective of market resources, some developing countries are optimistic about the momentum; the demand for domestic key projects shows a clear growth trend. In China today, the starting point for transforming development methods is development, stability, and harmony. There are still many bright spots in the market and there are plenty of opportunities. From the point of view of the country’s emphasis and support for the series of policies, the acceleration of the major special projects in 2004 continued, and the coherent policies of the seven strategic emerging industries are under development, which are supporting the development of the CNC machine tool industry. It is reported that 04 major special countries invest 22 billion yuan, most of which will be put into place during the "12th Five-Year Plan" period. From the perspective of major special projects, 80% of domestic machine tools of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” meet the needs of domestic engineering projects, and the varieties are based on the domestic market. Among them, the market occupancy rate of CNC machine tools has increased significantly, reaching over 70%, and the development method has changed significantly.

The Fifth Plenary Session of the 17th CPC Central Committee and the 2010 Central Economic Work Conference put forward the principle of "using scientific development as the theme, and accelerating the transformation of economic development methods" to produce traditional products, low quality, high energy consumption, and high pollution. Investment should be strictly limited and a batch of backward production capacity should be eliminated. It can be expected that the demand for low-grade machine tools will be greatly reduced, and the market demand for economical CNC machine tools will be reduced. At the same time, the current demand structure of China's machine tool market is advancing. National key support projects such as nuclear power, new energy vehicles, high-speed rail, and seven strategic emerging industries are all high-end requirements. Accuracy, efficiency, degree, reliability, energy conservation, and environmental protection are taken into consideration. It is a test to catch up with demand. In addition, from the perspective of the world economic situation, although Europe, the United States, Japan, and other countries have begun to recover, they will be relatively slow. The Chinese market is thriving. All powerful machine-making countries and manufacturers have made China the first strategic goal. Competition will become even fiercer and even brutal. These will bring new pressure. With the rise of China and the rise of China's machine tools, the blockade of China’s technology by some developed countries will become more and more stringent, and our development will become more difficult. The promulgation of the national "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" proposal and a series of policies will also bring good development opportunities for China's machine tool industry. How to maintain the healthy, rapid and sustainable development momentum of all industries is the problem that the “12th Five-Year Plan” of the machine tool industry needs to further study and solve, and it is necessary to present some practical measures and means to circumvent the existing problems and difficulties. To solve it, the machine tool industry has embarked on a sustainable and rapid development path.

Twelve Wang Machine Tool Industry will implement the historical crossover machinery industry association Wang Ruixiang once proposed at the industry conference: “In the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the machine tool industry will be involved in a new round of industrial structure adjustment and industrial transformation and upgrading. We must focus on optimizing the structure, improving the quality of products, strengthening the supporting capabilities of industries, and eliminating outdated production capacity, focusing on structural adjustment, changing development methods, supporting technological innovation, and taking the market as the orientation, accelerating the promotion of corporate skill reform, and strengthening New product development capabilities and brand building capabilities, promote the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries, and accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries as a central link; accelerate the promotion of energy-saving emission reduction, environmental protection and environmental protection production as a breakthrough; strengthen core R&D skills, break through key areas, and actively advance The degree of informatization of the machine tool industry.” It can be seen that the development trend of technological innovation, brand creation, and energy conservation and environmental protection is imperative. Each company should seriously consider how to grasp this opportunity at the beginning of the 12th Five-Year Plan. To lay the foundation for a historic leap in the machine tool industry.

With technological innovation as the support, the advancement of science and technology, independent innovation, and the core competitiveness of the advance industry are the key to the development of the machine tool industry. Wang Ruixiang pointed out that the principle of strengthening the combination of new product development capability and brand creation ability and eliminating backward production capacity should be maintained, and basic technology, basic materials, basic component R&D and system integration levels should be advanced. Widely adopting new techniques, new techniques, new equipment, and new materials, using high-tech techniques such as electronic information, and advanced practical skills to reform and upgrade existing industries and products. Strengthen the ability to advance independent innovation capabilities, vigorously create strategic emerging industries, adapt to international competition, expand domestic demand, energy conservation and environmental protection requests, vigorously develop marketable varieties, carry out product innovation, accelerate product upgrading, and strive to create independent intellectual property rights. , independent brands, competitive new products and new industries.

The adjustment structure, product upgrades, and independent innovation have become the resonance of everyone. At present, a large number of domestic machine tool products are still in the low-end and high-end areas, some of the key core skills are not in the hands, so one direction of development is technological innovation, the use of new skills , New technology, new materials, joint high-tech skills to reform and upgrade products, improve product quality and ensure the accuracy of products, these are the problems to be solved without delay. In particular, the numerical control system and vital function components that are used as the “short board” of the machine tool industry must also take advantage of various special projects of the country and strive to improve the technical innovation and product innovation in the high-end production field.

During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's machine tool industry is in urgent need of a number of high-level, large-scale products and brands with independent intellectual property rights, and large enterprise groups that have the ability to resist in the international market. "Special, new," focused on a certain area, doing a deep and deep enterprise. Bigger enterprises need to create product brands with independent intellectual property rights, advance international competitiveness, and develop in a stronger direction. The enterprises that do fine work also need to speed up the transformation and form products with high production concentration and complementary advantages as soon as possible, and strengthen the industry’s ability to resist risks and resist shocks.

Carry out in-depth technical exploration and technological reforms for strategic emerging industries involved in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” proposal, such as new energy vehicles, high-speed railways, rail transportation, and shipbuilding, etc., to provide users with dedicated sets of equipment and expand new services. field. Under the leadership of policy support and proposals, we will intensify research and development of core critical skills, seize the market at the fastest speed, and become bigger and stronger. At present, there are excellent cases. For example, the Hangzhou Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. has successfully developed the large-scale key equipment for the construction of high-speed railways, the MKB7025 CNC orbital plate special grinder, and firmly grasped the history of the rapid development of China's high-speed railway construction. Sex opportunities have secured orders for special grinding machines for 6 high-speed railway track plates, including the Beijing-Shanghai line, the Tianjin-Tang line, the Shiwu line, the Shanghai-Nanjing line, the Shanghai-Hangzhou line, and the Hangzhou-Ningbo line, with an output value of 190 million yuan.

Self-owned brand building is the road to “developing advanced manufacturing operations.” Many industry experts have proposed to use a variety of roads to create their own brands during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, and to show their important support for economic development, and to point out that skill innovation is Create the premise of own brand.

At present, China, which ranks fourth in global operations, is becoming the world's production center and has obvious comparative advantages. However, we cannot neglect our weakness: the gap between independent brand building and independent research and development standards. Self-owned brand construction is a strategic decision that the company seeks to create differentiation through branding under the trend of increasing homogenization of products, skills and services in the global competition. Luo Baihui believes that in the past decades, the Chinese machine tool industry has learned and digested and absorbed. While making this piece of cake in the machine tool industry, it has not completely escaped the big but not the strong situation. The problem lies with the brand. Only more companies know how to establish their own brand development strategy and enhance the brand competitiveness of all countries, so that China's advanced manufacturing operations based on the world.

In order to enable enterprises to break through the bottleneck of existing development, Shenyang Machine Tool cracked the "big but not strong" problem, and focused on breakthroughs in core technology breakthroughs and product structure adjustments. Shenyang Machine Tool introduced a new trampoline, new CAK in 2010, The new five-level CNC machine tool products such as New Lijia, Xinkejia, and new CNC cars will be mass-produced in 2011, and will eventually form an annual production capacity of 30,000 units, and overall improve the product quality of Shenyang Machine Tools; OEM method to create a new social production system, improve the overall processing capabilities of Shenyang machine tool manufacturing, and ultimately achieve brand management.

As one of the important tasks of industrial structure adjustment, the key to the development of advanced manufacturing operations is to improve the core competitiveness of manufacturing operations, develop strategic emerging industries, strengthen independent innovation capabilities, control core skills and critical skills, strengthen the transformation of scientific and technological achievements, and upgrade the overall industry. Skill level. In the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, the Chinese machine tool industry can only transform to high-end and frontiers in order to gain greater development.

New energy development and energy-saving emission reduction The current energy consumption of mechanical products in the application process is calculated according to 21 major categories of mechanical and electrical products, and their electricity consumption accounts for about 70% of the national energy consumption. However, the energy efficiency of energy-consuming equipment is very low. Small and medium-sized motors, fans, pumps, etc. are all 5 percentage points lower than those of developed countries, and the efficiency of system operation is nearly 20% lower. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, we will promote changes in energy production and utilization methods and build a safe, stable, economical and clean modern energy industry system. Accelerate the development of new energy and promote the clean and efficient use of traditional energy.

For the machine tool industry, it is first and foremost to pay close attention to the phenomena of excess production capacity and backward production capacity in its own production areas, and to do a good job in adjusting the industrial structure and eliminating outdated products. Encourage the use of advanced processing techniques and methods, encourage the development of circular economy, support and lead the development of energy-saving, water-saving, material-saving, intelligent high value-added products, advancement of mechanical equipment self-sufficiency rate.

Second, while reducing energy consumption, it is necessary to provide a basis for the supply of new energy resources. This requires close attention to the new trends in the development of emerging industries, high and low efforts in the development of low-carbon, environmental protection, high-end products, and strive to seize the commanding heights of international industry competition. Increase the development of production lines for new energy and new materials. Hanjiang Machine Tool Co., Ltd. successfully developed a digital multi-line silicon wafer cutting machine for photovoltaic industry equipment, which is worthy of our reference and reference.

The "Twelfth Five-Year" brings endless embarrassment to people. In 2010, China's machine tool industry has basically formed its leading ability in industrial development, resource allocation and market enlightenment; the capability of independent development and skill innovation of basic products; the effectiveness of industrial structure adjustment; energy saving, material saving, environmental protection, safety, and development of circular economy The use of skills will also reach the international advanced level, and will be able to participate more deeply in international competition and achieve sustainable development. Accompanied by the state's support policy for the machine tool industry and economic globalization, more promising breakthroughs will be achieved in the broader field of mechanical manufacturing.