China may become the benchmark for the development of new energy vehicles in the world
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At the recent 2016 China Auto Forum, the world automobile organization Mr. Yvesvander Straaten was very optimistic about the Chinese auto market. He believes that the Chinese auto market is already large and will be even bigger. China may become a benchmark for the development of new energy vehicles in the world.
What is the development trend of the world auto industry in the next few years? What are the current global economic conditions in the future of the automotive industry? From your perspective, how do you view the wave of electrification and intelligentization in the development of the global automotive industry?
Mr.YvesvanderStraaten: When it comes to trends in the automotive industry in the trend world, I think this demand will continue to grow. Car demand is closely related to life in the economic, social, and social fields. We cannot separate it. In the global context, the proportion is 180 vehicles in 1,000 people. There are two cars in developed countries, and even more in the United States. More than 600 of the 1,000 people in the United States have cars. In order to meet people's social and economic needs, we still have to use cars to meet their needs. In particular, the use of private cars as public transport to supplement or share vehicles is also a very important part.
This is a very interesting question. I also see that the link between GDP growth and car sales is a very relevant relationship. In the economic development period, the sales volume of economic growth vehicles also increases, and the opposite is true, so this is a strong correlation.
Speaking of the wave, the word “wave†is still very short-term. I think it should be a longer-term trend. Electric vehicles are not only pure electric cars, but also hybrid cars, LPG (liquefied petroleum gas), and compressed-gas vehicles. These are all developed through new technologies and are a very interesting process.
We are looking at the definition of interconnectivity? There are services, for example, in the car can be used to carry out services through the Internet, or the communication between the cars, such as where there is ice, where there is a traffic jam, but these are the need for infrastructure, but in this regard technology It is a very challenging issue. And there are communication standards. In addition, the infrastructure is not established in the world. Therefore, it needs to be established from scratch, so this is a long-term process.
You mentioned a lot of technical path choices, such as pure electric vehicles, such as hydrogen fuel electric vehicles, which kind of development do you prefer?
Mr.YvesvanderStraaten: I'm not actually in a position to choose a technology. Each technology has its advantages, depending on where and why you use this technology, and how to reflect on consumer and social needs. When we talk about batteries, there are also batteries that don't use batteries. They don't use batteries to generate hydrogen. But they need infrastructure. The infrastructure is to refuel and recharge. Actually every technology faces challenges. I mentioned that different new technologies include LPG, CNG, hydrogen and so on, but I also forgot to mention that the other is that biotransformation into liquid fuels is still in the laboratory stage, so I hope that in the next two Thirty years have new types of technology as a supplement to tradition.
Just mentioned the relationship between GDP and automobiles. China's economy is now developing, and the automobile industry is also undergoing a transformation. What kind of impact will China's automobile industry have on the world's automobile industry? What kind of development does the world have in terms of new energy vehicles? Please anticipate it.
Mr.YvesvanderStraaten: China has become the locomotive of the world's automobile production and sales. The market size is very large and has undergone such tremendous changes in two to three years. This is definitely a big influence, and it attracts various auto manufacturers to participate. The Chinese auto market is already big and will be bigger. This is an interesting phenomenon.
When it comes to new energy vehicles, I think that China can be said to be a laboratory for new technologies. The infrastructure also has new technologies for charging. Unlike traditional technology development, it is a step-by-step development. This is a leapfrog development. The Chinese government and industry will also work out some new plans to stimulate the development of new energy. I think China may become a benchmark for new energy vehicles.
Regarding the time when this goal will be achieved, depending on the speed, a large number of new energy vehicles will enter the market. I do not see new sales figures. In this respect, China has achieved a considerable amount of sales through its slow development. Now is the cruising range of the battery, the other is the charging speed, changes in the past few years, but not enough to allow consumers to overcome the fear of no electricity for the battery, so to improve battery life mileage, but also have charging facilities everywhere. There is also charging speed. If it takes 8 hours to be full, it is inconvenient for the long distance. Regardless of whether it is the United States, Germany, or China, whoever achieves it first will accomplish this goal.
Google and Baidu are both making preparations for unmanned driving. How long do you think that drones and intelligence can be commercialized?
Mr.YvesvanderStraaten: This depends on the development of the degree of automation. Actually, some self-driving cars still have the interaction between the driver and the car. One is the framework of the law, as well as social policies and traffic rules. In the public sector, there are already technologies on some roads when traffic jams. When it comes to unmanned vehicles, there are now Google cars. Actually, I do not like this term. Actually, drivers are still licensed. They only say that full drones are still in the lab. If it is completely on the freeway, the system is ready and introduced. This will be quick. And completely unmanned, such as the driver can lie there, this should be on the road, if all goes well, of course I'm not considering technically, because the technology is almost ready soon. If all goes well I think it should be ready in 5 to 10 years.
It's totally unmanned, like lying on a recliner. It takes 20 to 30 years for a car to go to the city. Of course, I can't give precise figures. It depends on the development of technology. There are a lot of things to do. For example, the technology stipulates insurance, traffic, traffic rules, and product responsibilities. How to divide the responsibility of an accident is also a problem that needs to be solved.
How does e-commerce play a role in the development of the global auto industry and what is the future development trend?
Mr.YvesvanderStraaten: Nowadays people buy cars on the Internet. They look at the specifications of cars first, and cars are becoming more and more frequent on the Internet. They can configure their cars on the Internet themselves to see how they are configured, how models, colors, transmissions, engines, and their own configuration are becoming more and more. I don't know that in China, people can pick cars online. There are other auto show cars that people can watch on the Internet, and dealers can touch the car in the exhibition room. In fact, this method is still different from the Internet. Because the car purchase is a very strong taste and emotion, need to touch, need to feel, need to smell it, or a different experience.